Researchers from Stanford Medicine have discovered that cancer cells-to-be accumulate a series of specific genetic changes in a predictable and sequential way years before they are identifiable as pre-malignancies. Many of these changes affect pathways that control cell division, structure, and internal messaging — leaving the cells poised to go bad long before any visible signs or symptoms occur.
The study is the first to exhaustively observe the natural evolution of the earliest stages of human cancers, starting with cells that have a single cancer-priming mutation and culminating with a panel of descendants harboring a galaxy of genetic abnormalities.
Identifying the first steps associated with future cancer development could not only facilitate earlier-than-ever diagnosis — when a deadly outcome is but a twinkle in a rogue cell’s eye — but may also highlight novel interventions that could stop the disease in its tracks, the researchers say.
Curtis is the senior author of the research, which was published on May 31 in Nature. The lead authors of the study are former postdoctoral scholar Kasper Karlsson, Ph.D., and visiting graduate student Moritz Przybilla.
Cells of nefarious beginnings
The research builds on previous work in Curtis’s laboratory indicating that some colon cancer cells are seemingly born to be bad — they acquire the ability to metastasize long before the disease is detectable.
“Our studies of established tumors showed us that early genomic alterations seem to dictate what happens later, and that many of these changes seem to happen before tumor formation,” Curtis said. “We wanted to know what happens at the very earliest stages. How does a cancer cell evolve, and is this evolutionary path repeatable? If we start with a given set of conditions, will we get the same result in every case?”
The researchers studied tiny, three-dimensional clumps of human stomach cells called gastric organoids. The cells were obtained from patients undergoing gastric bypass surgery to treat obesity. At the beginning of the study, the researchers nudged the cells toward cancers by disabling the production of a key cancer-associated protein called p53 that regulates when and how often a cell divides. Mutations in p53 are known to be an early event in many human cancers, and they trigger the accumulation of additional genetic changes including mutations and copy number alterations — in which repetitive regions of the genome are lost or gained during cell division.
Then they waited.
Every two weeks, for two years, Karlsson cataloged the genetic changes occurring in the dividing cells. When Karlsson and Przybilla analyzed the data they found that, although changes occurred randomly, those that conferred greater fitness gave their host cells an evolutionary advantage over other cells in the organoid. As the cells continued to divide and the cycle of mutation and competition repeated over many iterations, the researchers saw some common themes.
Predictable pathways
“There are reproducible patterns,” Curtis said. “Certain regions of the genome are consistently lost very early after the initial inactivation of p53. This was repeatedly seen in cells from independent experiments with the same donor and across donors. This indicates that these changes are cell-intrinsic, that they are hardwired into tumor evolution. At the same time, these cells and organoids appear mostly normal under the microscope. They have not yet progressed to a cancer.”
The researchers found that these early changes usually occur in biological pathways that control when and how often a cell divides, that interfere with a cell’s intricate internal signaling network coordinating the thousands of steps necessary to keep it running smoothly, or that control cell structure and polarity — its ability to know what is “up” and “down” and to situate itself with respect to neighboring cells to form a functioning tissue.
The researchers saw similar patterns occur again and again in cells from different donors. Like water flowing downhill into dry creek beds, the cells traced tried-and-true paths, gaining momentum with each new genetic change. Several of these changes mirror mutations previously observed in stomach cancer and in Barrett’s esophagus, a pre-cancerous condition arising from cells that line the colon and stomach.
“These changes occur in a stereotyped manner that suggests constraints in the system,” Curtis said. “There’s a degree of predictability at the genomic level and even more so at the transcriptomic level — in the biological pathways that are affected — that gives insights into how these cancers arise.”
Curtis and her colleagues plan to repeat the study in different cell types and initiate events other than p53 mutation.
“We’re trying to understand exactly what malignant transformation is,” Curtis said. “What does it mean to catch these cells in the act, about to topple over the edge? We’d like to repeat this study with other tissue types and initiating mutations so we can understand the early genetic events that occur in different organs. And we’d like to study the interplay between the host and the environment. Do inflammatory factors play a role in promoting progression? We know that it matters that the cells in these organoids are communicating with each other, and that is important to understanding progression and treatment response.”
Reference: “Deterministic evolution and stringent selection during preneoplasia” by Kasper Karlsson, Moritz J. Przybilla, Eran Kotler, Aziz Khan, Hang Xu, Kremena Karagyozova, Alexandra Sockell, Wing H. Wong, Katherine Liu, Amanda Mah, Yuan-Hung Lo, Bingxin Lu, Kathleen E. Houlahan, Zhicheng Ma, Carlos J. Suarez, Chris P. Barnes, Calvin J. Kuo and Christina Curtis, 31 May 2023, Nature.
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-023-06102-8
Researchers from Karolinska Institutet, the University College London, and the Chan Zuckerberg Biohub also contributed to the study.
The research was supported by the National Institutes of Health (grants DP1-CA238296 and U01-CA217851) and the Swedish Research Council.

News
Scientists Sound Alarm: “Safe” Antibiotic Has Led to an Almost Untreatable Superbug
A recent study reveals that an antibiotic used for liver disease patients may increase their risk of contracting a dangerous superbug. An international team of researchers has discovered that rifaximin, a commonly prescribed antibiotic [...]
Scientists Discover Natural Compound That Stops Cancer Progression
A discovery led by OHSU was made possible by years of study conducted by University of Portland undergraduates. Scientists have discovered a natural compound that can halt a key process involved in the progression [...]
Scientists Just Discovered an RNA That Repairs DNA Damage – And It’s a Game-Changer
Our DNA is constantly under threat — from cell division errors to external factors like sunlight and smoking. Fortunately, cells have intricate repair mechanisms to counteract this damage. Scientists have uncovered a surprising role played by [...]
What Scientists Just Discovered About COVID-19’s Hidden Death Toll
COVID-19 didn’t just claim lives directly—it reshaped mortality patterns worldwide. A major international study found that life expectancy plummeted across most of the 24 analyzed countries, with additional deaths from cardiovascular disease, substance abuse, and mental [...]
Self-Propelled Nanoparticles Improve Immunotherapy for Non-Invasive Bladder Cancer
A study led by Pohang University of Science and Technology (POSTECH) and the Institute for Bioengineering of Catalonia (IBEC) in South Korea details the creation of urea-powered nanomotors that enhance immunotherapy for bladder cancer. The nanomotors [...]
Scientists Develop New System That Produces Drinking Water From Thin Air
UT Austin researchers have developed a biodegradable, biomass-based hydrogel that efficiently extracts drinkable water from the air, offering a scalable, sustainable solution for water access in off-grid communities, emergency relief, and agriculture. Discarded food [...]
AI Unveils Hidden Nanoparticles – A Breakthrough in Early Disease Detection
Deep Nanometry (DNM) is an innovative technique combining high-speed optical detection with AI-driven noise reduction, allowing researchers to find rare nanoparticles like extracellular vesicles (EVs). Since EVs play a role in disease detection, DNM [...]
Inhalable nanoparticles could help treat chronic lung disease
Nanoparticles designed to release antibiotics deep inside the lungs reduced inflammation and improved lung function in mice with symptoms of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease By Grace Wade Delivering medication to the lungs with inhalable nanoparticles [...]
New MRI Study Uncovers Hidden Lung Abnormalities in Children With Long COVID
Long COVID is more than just lingering symptoms—it may have a hidden biological basis that standard medical tests fail to detect. A groundbreaking study using advanced MRI technology has uncovered significant lung abnormalities in [...]
AI Struggles with Abstract Thought: Study Reveals GPT-4’s Limits
While GPT-4 performs well in structured reasoning tasks, a new study shows that its ability to adapt to variations is weak—suggesting AI still lacks true abstract understanding and flexibility in decision-making. Artificial Intelligence (AI), [...]
Turning Off Nerve Signals: Scientists Develop Promising New Pancreatic Cancer Treatment
Pancreatic cancer reprograms nerve cells to fuel its growth, but blocking these connections can shrink tumors and boost treatment effectiveness. Pancreatic cancer is closely linked to the nervous system, according to researchers from the [...]
New human antibody shows promise for Ebola virus treatment
New research led by scientists at La Jolla Institute for Immunology (LJI) reveals the workings of a human antibody called mAb 3A6, which may prove to be an important component for Ebola virus therapeutics. [...]
Early Alzheimer’s Detection Test – Years Before Symptoms Appear
A new biomarker test can detect early-stage tau protein clumping up to a decade before it appears on brain scans, improving early Alzheimer’s diagnosis. Unlike amyloid-beta, tau neurofibrillary tangles are directly linked to cognitive decline. Years [...]
New mpox variant can spread rapidly across borders
International researchers, including from DTU National Food Institute, warn that the ongoing mpox outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) has the potential to spread across borders more rapidly. The mpox virus [...]
How far would you trust AI to make important decisions?
From tailored Netflix recommendations to personalized Facebook feeds, artificial intelligence (AI) adeptly serves content that matches our preferences and past behaviors. But while a restaurant tip or two is handy, how comfortable would you [...]
Can AI Really Think? Research Reveals Gaps in Logical Execution
While AI models can break down problems into structured steps, new research reveals they still fail at basic arithmetic and fact-checking—raising questions about their true reasoning abilities. Large Language Models (LLMs) have become indispensable [...]